Mass unemployment might trigger civil wars in the countries in the area, as well as a new wave of refugees for Europe
Experts fear the migration crisis will get worse with new wave of refugees arriving from Middle East and North Africa into Europe, due to civil wars set to be triggered by job shortages in the region. Only 4 in 10 people here have jobs. According to a report issued by the Berlin Institute for Population and Development, the effects are expected to last until 2030.
“The rise in refugee numbers from Middle East and North Africa countries would also increase the danger of terrorist attacks and relocate the region’s conflicts to Europe,” the study warns while advancing the hypothesis that private enterprise development, vocational education and women’s rights improvements could partially ease the situation.
Reiner Klingholz, director of the institute, also commented on the forecast:
“In contrast to almost everywhere else in the globe, generally speaking the better the education you have the harder it is to find a job in these countries. It means many feel they have many good reasons to leave because they believe they will find a job outside of the region, leading to a rise in economic migrants. Egypt, Iraq, Yemen and Algeria are all on the edge and there is a risk that one of these could end up as another Syria with all the tragic problems this brings. Most refugees initially go to a neighbouring country with the hope of returning home soon, but after around three years with no peace, they usually move further afield, in most cases to Europe. There is a real risk with the numbers of migrants involved that some will import terrorism and conflicts from their region into the heart of Europe.’